Dolphins vs Eagles Odds | Sunday Night Football (Week 7)
Sunday, Oct. 22
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
+3 -110 |
52 -110o / -110u |
+140 |
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
-3 -110 |
52 -110o / -110u |
-160 |
Sunday Night Football features a heavyweight battle and our NFL betting analysts are all over it with Dolphins vs Eagles picks against the spread and player props.
The Dolphins vs. Eagles spread has settled at Philadelphia at -3 with a game total of 51.5 or 52 depending on the book. We have one bettor who emphatically believes the Eagles will cover the spread, while others are in the player prop market for D'Andre Swift and A.J. Brown.
Our staff of NFL analysts are all over this game with this SNF betting preview. From Dolphins vs. Eagles spread picks to player props, here are our best bets for Sunday Night Football.
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Dolphins vs Eagles Player Props, Picks Against Spread: SNF Best Bets
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our NFL betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
Dolphins vs. Eagles
By Simon Hunter
This number is running. Hopefully it’s not above -3 when you see this.
The public and national media lovesssssss the Dolphins. Everyone has them power rated as the best team in football. Tua Tagovailoa for MVP keeps getting louder and louder. They are setting new records through six weeks. What could possibly stop this historical offense?
Insert: Philadelphia’s front four.
We know how you beat the Dolphins. The Bills already showed us the way. You need to get pressure with your front four and drop the rest into coverage. The Eagles are perfectly built to stop Miami’s offense.
Say by some miracle Philly generates no pressure and Tagovailoa has himself a day. The Eagles will still be able to run the ball whenever they want. I could easily see them rush for over 150 yards as they control time of possession and keep Miami’s offense off the field, never letting Tagovailoa get into a rhythm.
Buy low on the Eagles, who are coming off their first loss of the season. This number should be -3.5, but the public has kept this at -3 and below all week.
Take the value. The Jets make just about every offense look bad. Hurts has lost only one home game in the last year. Bet on him and this defense to bounce back.
Pick: Eagles -3 (+105)
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Dolphins vs. Eagles
On the one hand, Philadelphia's defense hasn't been as good as it was a year ago. The Eagles are bottom 10 against the pass by DVOA, and the secondary looks like it's lost a step. Philadelphia's defense ranks 28th by DVOA at home.
The Eagles defense is beatable, and it's beatable in ways Miami is specifically built to punish teams. Philadelphia purposely did not invest in its linebackers and safeties, preferring to invest into the defensive line and corners, but leaving the middle of the field in peril. The Dolphins have struggled against teams like Buffalo and San Francisco with top linebackers but feasted on other opponents over the middle.
Miami's offense is best in the league by virtually any metric, and it's consistent on early and late downs, early and late in the game, any measure really. This is a team the Dolphins will score on, and when they do, the Eagles are not built to play from behind. Miami's last three wins have come by 15 or more.
These are not last year's Eagles. It's Miami's year.
… Unless of course it's not, and last year's Eagles are still in there, and last year's Eagles would own this matchup the same way they owned most matchups — by winning in the trenches.
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Philadelphia's defensive line remains elite, and the Eagles can disrupt Tua Tagovailoa's timing all night with their persistent four-man pressure, the exact sort of thing that's thrown Miami's offense off. For all the records the Dolphins are breaking, Miami has faced the easiest defensive schedule in the league. Sean Desai's defense and pressure will ask questions Miami hasn't answered yet.
The Dolphins defense is the weakest unit on the field, and it's been even worse on the road and in the first half. With Lane Johnson back, Philadelphia will establish the run early and grind Miami down by winning on the offensive line and running the ball down the Dolphins' throats, keeping Tagovailoa and the offense watching on the sidelines.
The Dolphins gave up 34 and 48 on the road against the Chargers and Bills and lost by 28 in Buffalo. Philadelphia gets ahead early, plays its usual script, and rolls to a big win.
Styles make fights, and these teams' styles set up for a heck of a fight. I have this funny feeling that one of these teams solves the matchup and we end up with a big win, much like we did with Cowboys-49ers a few Sunday nights ago. I honestly have no idea which side that will be, but I'm trusting my gut and betting both sides to win big at a combined implied +324 and hoping one of them hits.
Pick: Dolphins -13.5 (+680) & Eagles -19.5 (+830)
Dolphins vs. Eagles
In a game that should deliver an abundance of explosive plays with the highest total of the week, it's hard to envision AJ Brown cooling off from his current form.
Brown's lowest receiving total over the last four weeks is 127 yards. The Eagles' passing offense is clearly running through their superstar receiver.
The Dolphins have the 22nd-ranked pass defense according to DVOA but digging deeper, I think they could be even more vulnerable to an elite WR like Brown.
Miami runs man coverage more than the average rate for defenses around the NFL. Brown is getting targeted on 41.4% of his routes this season against man coverage, according to Sharp Football. Brown has always thrived in this area and this season is no different, as he is averaging 4.16 yards per route run against man coverage.
The Dolphins defense allows a catch rate of 75.1%, which is 27th in the league. They also are 26th in yards after contact per reception allowed, which should allow Brown to break tackles and get plenty of yards after reception Sunday night.
Brown should have another big game in this one.
Pick: A.J. Brown Over 80.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
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Dolphins vs. Eagles
Last week was the first time that the Eagles really trailed in a game for a serious amount of time, and the production for Swift in the passing game was solid. He had eight receptions on 10 targets, and the receiving-game volume has gone up the longer we've continued into the season. Swift has logged 10, six and four targets over the last four games, accounting for 18 receptions, and somehow we are getting this line at plus odds in a solid spot.
This isn't anything new for Swift either. In his three seasons with the Lions, Swift was in a split backfield and still averaged around four receptions per game. He's clearly the main guy in the Philly offense and should continue to be heavily involved in the receiving game.
I would hit this line all the way to -110.
Pick: D'Andre Swift Over 3.5 Receptions (+120)
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October 23, 2023 at 07:00AM
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